morphiusx

• Active | Ended | All

• Ticker
• Rating
• Start Date
• Dir
• Start Price
• Current price
• Dividend Paid
• (A)Stock Returns
• (B)Index Returns
• Net points (A)-(B)

• MADHUCON
• 
• 2010-02-08 
•  
• 161.50 
• 156.75 
• 0.00 
• -2.9% 
• 8.8% 
• -11.7 

• MSKPROJ
• 
• 2010-02-04 
•  
• 117.90 
• 121.35 
• 0.00 
• 2.9% 
• 4.4% 
• -1.5 

• KALINDEE
• 
• 2009-12-30 
•  
• 231.90 
• 146.25 
• 0.00 
• -36.9% 
• -1.3% 
• -35.3 

• NAUKRI
• 
• 2009-12-29 
•  
• 847.00 
• 860.10 
• 0.00 
• 1.5% 
• -1.9% 
• 4.9 

• RPOWER
• 
• 2009-11-19 
•  
• 153.95 
• 142.30 
• 0.00 
• -7.6% 
• 1.2% 
• -8.7 

• NETWORK18
• 
• 2009-11-18 
•  
• 82.45 
• 106.75 
• 0.00 
• 29.5% 
• 0.9% 
• 28.6 

• SUZLON
• 
• 2009-10-29 
•  
• 72.30 
• 77.05 
• 0.00 
• 6.6% 
• 6.9% 
• -0.3 

• EDELWEISS
• 
• 2009-10-29 
•  
• 468.00 
• 426.10 
• 2.00 
• 8.5% 
• -6.7% 
• 15.2 

• NAVNETPUBL
• 
• 2009-10-01 
•  
• 39.10 
• 47.10 
• 1.00 
• 23.0% 
• 0.3% 
• 22.7 

• BALAJIDIST
• 
• 2009-09-17 
•  
• 25.45 
• 49.75 
• 0.00 
• 95.5% 
• 2.6% 
• 92.9 

• JINDALSTEL
• 
• 2009-09-07 
•  
• 556.17 
• 686.60 
• 5.50 
• -24.4% 
• -9.0% 
• -15.4 

• NHPC
• 
• 2009-09-04 
•  
• 36.25 
• 32.40 
• 0.00 
• 10.6% 
• -10.7% 
• 21.3 

• KSK
• 
• 2009-08-24 
•  
• 203.70 
• 176.30 
• 0.00 
• 13.8% 
• -10.8% 
• 24.6 

• CHAMPAGIND
• 
• 2009-08-20 
•  
• 60.30 
• 54.50 
• 0.00 
• -9.6% 
• 14.2% 
• -23.8 

• ADANIPOWER
• 
• 2009-08-20 
•  
• 102.05 
• 109.15 
• 0.00 
• -7.0% 
• -13.9% 
• 7.0 

• ESABINDIA
• 
• 2009-08-18 
•  
• 412.00 
• 594.60 
• 20.00 
• 49.2% 
• 14.5% 
• 34.7 

• JKTYRE
• 
• 2009-07-17 
•  
• 89.35 
• 199.50 
• 2.70 
• -126.3% 
• -16.9% 
• -109.4 

• MHRIL
• 
• 2009-07-17 
•  
• 313.90 
• 525.65 
• 0.00 
• 67.4% 
• 19.2% 
• 48.1 

• NAGARCHEM
• 
• 2009-07-07 
•  
• 124.00 
• 278.80 
• 5.00 
• 128.9% 
• 20.7% 
• 108.2 

• JPPOWER
• 
• 2009-06-08 
•  
• 93.55 
• 70.65 
• 0.75 
• 23.7% 
• -13.4% 
• 37.1 

• MONNETISPA
• 
• 2009-05-26 
•  
• 263.25 
• 377.80 
• 5.00 
• 45.4% 
• 21.6% 
• 23.9 

• ITC
• 
• 2009-05-26 
•  
• 184.35 
• 251.05 
• 3.70 
• 38.2% 
• 22.5% 
• 15.7 

• SARDAEN
• 
• 2009-05-19 
•  
• 113.15 
• 218.80 
• 3.00 
• 96.0% 
• 19.0% 
• 77.0 

• MIC
• 
• 2009-05-11 
•  
• 28.65 
• 45.80 
• 0.40 
• 61.3% 
• 40.5% 
• 20.7 

• TEMPTFOOD
• 
• 2009-05-04 
•  
• 34.65 
• 32.10 
• 0.00 
• -7.4% 
• 41.3% 
• -48.7 

• TATASTEEL
• 
• 2009-04-15 
•  
• 292.85 
• 613.45 
• 16.00 
• -114.9% 
• -46.1% 
• -69.3 

• UNITECH
• 
• 2009-04-15 
•  
• 47.80 
• 75.15 
• 0.10 
• -57.4% 
• -46.1% 
• -11.4 

• DLF
• 
• 2009-04-15 
•  
• 242.65 
• 311.75 
• 2.00 
• -29.3% 
• -49.5% 
• 20.2 

• GUJRATGAS
• 
• 2009-03-02 
•  
• 111.50 
• 262.00 
• 1.50 
• 136.3% 
• 90.7% 
• 45.6 

• GDL
• 
• 2009-02-24 
•  
• 45.75 
• 134.75 
• 3.50 
• 202.2% 
• 82.9% 
• 119.3 

• ZUARIAGRO
• 
• 2009-02-12 
•  
• 148.50 
• 585.00 
• 3.00 
• 296.0% 
• 74.5% 
• 220.8 

• TATACHEM
• 
• 2009-02-12 
•  
• 150.70 
• 310.65 
• 9.00 
• 112.1% 
• 74.5% 
• 37.6 

• MADRASFERT
• 
• 2009-02-12 
•  
• 8.15 
• 14.35 
• 0.00 
• 76.1% 
• 74.6% 
• 1.5 

• LIBPHOSP
• 
• 2009-02-12 
•  
• 13.15 
• 25.20 
• 0.00 
• 91.6% 
• 74.6% 
• 17.1 

• GSFC
• 
• 2009-02-12 
•  
• 85.15 
• 203.20 
• 4.50 
• 143.9% 
• 76.5% 
• 67.4 

• PTC
• 
• 2009-02-10 
•  
• 65.00 
• 112.50 
• 1.20 
• 74.9% 
• 73.7% 
• 1.2 

• ABAN
• 
• 2009-02-04 
•  
• 439.00 
• 1,288.05 
• 3.60 
• 194.2% 
• 81.9% 
• 112.3 

• UGARSUGAR
• 
• 2009-02-04 
•  
• 18.40 
• 19.20 
• 0.25 
• 5.7% 
• 81.8% 
• -76.1 

• RCOM
• 
• 2009-02-04 
•  
• 167.40 
• 162.55 
• 0.80 
• -2.4% 
• 80.2% 
• -82.7 

• KLGSYSTEL
• 
• 2009-01-28 
•  
• 68.85 
• 142.00 
• 2.75 
• 110.2% 
• 82.0% 
• 28.2 

• CRISIL
• 
• 2009-01-15 
•  
• 2,320.40 
• 5,022.05 
• 110.00 
• 121.2% 
• 87.3% 
• 33.9 

• MOTILALOFS
• 
• 2009-01-15 
•  
• 65.15 
• 175.25 
• 0.80 
• -170.2% 
• -86.4% 
• -83.8 

• ICRA
• 
• 2009-01-14 
•  
• 406.00 
• 866.10 
• 12.00 
• 116.3% 
• 83.0% 
• 33.3 

• SBIN
• 
• 2009-01-09 
•  
• 1,207.30 
• 2,043.85 
• 39.00 
• 72.5% 
• 76.9% 
• -4.4 

• TATASPONGE
• 
• 2008-12-16 
•  
• 135.55 
• 362.05 
• 8.00 
• 173.0% 
• 71.1% 
• 101.9 

• BAGWATIGAS
• 
• 2008-12-15 
•  
• 5.01 
• 7.32 
• 0.00 
• 46.1% 
• 70.8% 
• -24.7 

• OPTOCIRCUI
• 
• 2008-12-12 
•  
• 82.35 
• 222.30 
• 4.00 
• 174.8% 
• 74.6% 
• 100.2 

• INFOSYSTCH
• 
• 2008-11-10 
•  
• 1,260.50 
• 2,683.95 
• 23.50 
• 114.8% 
• 66.5% 
• 48.3 

• CESC
• 
• 2008-11-07 
•  
• 219.85 
• 398.10 
• 4.00 
• 82.9% 
• 76.2% 
• 6.7 

• HINDUNILVR
• 
• 2008-10-20 
•  
• 244.50 
• 235.55 
• 7.00 
• -0.8% 
• 63.6% 
• -64.4 

Recs
1 Posted by morphiusx on MSKPROJ | Thursday, February 4th, 2010
Based on pick by Nainesh, this looks like a good company to buy into - Profitable, growing and available at close to book value.

Replies (0)

Recs
1 Posted by morphiusx on NAUKRI | Tuesday, December 29th, 2009
Macro call - Infoedge has differentiated itself in the b2c internet space by focusing on essentials (jobs, homes etc) and ensured the businesses are structured such that they get paid by the business and not the consumer. 40 P/E is not such a high price to pay in an underpenetrated internet mkt like India.

Replies (0)

Recs
3 Posted by morphiusx on RPOWER | Thursday, November 19th, 2009
Only 33% of the 33000 MW capacity coming up is gas-based. Most projects seem to be well on track in terms of financial closure, procurement and execution. Current market cap implies PV of INR 1 cr per MW, which is too low. Execution risks have reduced considerably - This is a buy for the long term.
Check out blog Power Sector - Buy the dogs for more.

Replies (1)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on EDELWEISS | Thursday, October 29th, 2009
Galleon reducing its holdings is not good news for this stock...at this time. SELL

Replies (0)

Recs
6 Posted by morphiusx on SUZLON | Thursday, October 29th, 2009
Reversing stance. Over the last 3 quarters, Suzlon has managed to get over their liquidity crisis and sort out issues with respect to quality of blades etc. Suzlon is among the 5 top wind turbine manufacturers which own crucial parts of the supply chain (like gear boxes and hi-capacity turbines). Do not want to miss out on a re-rating!

Replies (3)

Recs
23 Posted by morphiusx on NAVNETPUBL | Thursday, October 1st, 2009
Accumulating at less than 40 levels. Strong stable company involved in 3 (related) businesses: stationary, printing textbooks and e-learning. Stable business in printing textbooks (whenever syllabus changes) and in stationary business. The huge upside is in e-learning, where they have 500 schools using their e-learning modules.

Replies (4)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on JINDALSTEL | Monday, September 7th, 2009
Love the company, but at this price?!

Replies (0)

Recs
8 Posted by morphiusx on NHPC | Friday, September 4th, 2009
As per valuation comments in one of the blogs on this site, 36 is a very high price to pay for this company - their existing tariffs are very low and there is a virtual exodus of experienced project staff into private companies willing to pay for the talent. Target 28.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on KSK | Monday, August 24th, 2009
I have heard some rumours of the price these guys are paying for existing hydro assets...At least 30% more than anyone sane would be willing to pay. At 60x P/E, this is a Sell.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on JKTYRE | Friday, July 17th, 2009
Buy the rumour, Sell the news. Very short-term view.

Replies (0)

Recs
4 Posted by morphiusx on NAGARCHEM | Tuesday, July 7th, 2009
This ticks most boxes - stable segment, yoy revenue growth, decent coverage ratio, among bigger companies in sector, competent management, large promoter shareholding, low multiples as compared to sector average,

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on HDFCBANK | Tuesday, June 9th, 2009
Overvalued by 30% from my baseline valuation

Replies (0)

Recs
6 Posted by morphiusx on JPPOWER | Monday, June 8th, 2009
Reversing stance...This stock looks far too overpriced to fair value...And it is not some growth story with an elastic demand-supply model. It takes 6 years to build a hydro plant and JPHydro has none in the pipeline. I stand by my valuation of 45 - 50. SHORT.

Replies (0)

Recs
3 Posted by morphiusx on ITC | Tuesday, May 26th, 2009
Defensives have been the poorest performers over the last month. Playing for a sharp pull-back.

Replies (3)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on MIC | Monday, May 11th, 2009
Well managed company with core LED video display business, set to make major inroads into LED lighting. Exploring ESCO model.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on IRB | Thursday, May 7th, 2009
me too!

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on TEMPTFOOD | Monday, May 4th, 2009
Just read the article posted on Fourstocks newsletter. The pledging of acquired shares in Kohinoor is still an issue...but core business looks attractive.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on SUZLON | Wednesday, April 15th, 2009
Shorting the biggest beneficiaries of this bear-mkt rally - SUZLON, UNITECH, TATASTEEL, TATAMOTORS, DLF.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on UNITECH | Wednesday, April 15th, 2009
Shorting the biggest beneficiaries of this bear-mkt rally - SUZLON, UNITECH, TATASTEEL, TATAMOTORS, DLF.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on TATASTEEL | Wednesday, April 15th, 2009
Shorting the biggest beneficiaries of this bear-mkt rally - SUZLON, UNITECH, TATASTEEL, TATAMOTORS, DLF.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on TATAMOTORS | Wednesday, April 15th, 2009
Shorting the biggest beneficiaries of this bear-mkt rally - SUZLON, UNITECH, TATASTEEL, TATAMOTORS, DLF.

Replies (0)

Recs
1 Posted by morphiusx on DLF | Wednesday, April 15th, 2009
Shorting the biggest beneficiaries of this bear-mkt rally - SUZLON, UNITECH, TATASTEEL, TATAMOTORS, DLF.

Replies (0)

Recs
3 Posted by morphiusx on PTC | Tuesday, February 10th, 2009
With the CERC saying it is open to consider upward revision to the 4p a unit cap on trading margins, there is a high likelihood this company could increase market cap by 30-40%.

Only 3%-3.5% of generated electricity (21 bn units of 660 bn units) was traded last year. As this percentage is set to increase in the coming years, PTC with 45% market share is likely to be the biggest beneficiary.

Replies (1)

Recs
5 Posted by morphiusx on JPPOWER | Thursday, January 22nd, 2009
Considering only the company's core revenue - sales on 88% of generated power (12% free power to state), a Plant Load Factor of 48%, no escalation in tariff (Rs 2.74/unit), full debt re-payment by 2017 (100cr per annum), no benefit for depreciation advances taken out of revenue, I get an equity valuation of 1,470 cr as opposed to last close mcap of 1525cr.

I have used 12% discount rate for cashflows to equity...at 48% PLF assumption, BASPA-II may not warrant that high a discount rate.

I have assigned zero value to Jaypee Powergrid Ltd, which is currently laying a 200km transmission lines in HP (in association with PowerGrid), given no benefit for other projects that JP Hydro can take up on account of completion of Baspa-II and no escalation in power prices.

JP Hydro is a Buy at these levels.

Replies (1)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on CENTRALBK | Monday, January 19th, 2009
Capital issues could lead to shareholder dilution

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on MOTILALOFS | Thursday, January 15th, 2009
following citi's report.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on CRISIL | Thursday, January 15th, 2009
For same reasons as ICRA. 12.5 P/E for a business with zero-debt, high barrier to entry, 25% net margin and a vast untapped market where borrowers will go any lengths to prove credit-worthiness and banks will use more due diligence - This one's for the long haul.

Replies (0)

Recs
1 Posted by morphiusx on ICRA | Wednesday, January 14th, 2009
65% gross margin and 42% net margin in a business where barrier to entry remains high.
While there is lot of talk of Moody's, S&P becoming redundant after the sub-prime crisis, my perception is that these companies will be become more relevant, albeit more cautious.
What does that mean? At a global level, that will mean an end to the structured credit rating business (CDOs etc), which was their major growth engine over the last 6 years.
At an Indian level, not much has changed in industry as there never was any structured credit market. If anything, we might see:
a) An increase in companies getting themselves rated (and banks buying more information)
b) A small reduction in margin as rating agencies spend more on internal quality controls.

At a P/E of 12.5, the market is pricing in the same P/E as it does for the parent company (Moody's). Following klooloola's lead: Seems we have a decent long-term investment here.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on MAYTASINFR | Monday, January 5th, 2009
Some people never learn...

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on MAYTASINFR | Wednesday, December 17th, 2008
Nothing has changed. Mr.Raju was trying to make small "promoter money" on the side. His core competence continues (dealing with govts). Considering that, he was doing the right thing!

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on SATYAMCOMP | Wednesday, December 17th, 2008
Opportunistic

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on BAGWATIGAS | Monday, December 15th, 2008
Long-term bullish on industrial gases segment.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on SESAGOA | Wednesday, November 12th, 2008
Changing stance...
Till now, this iron ore, aluminum and zinc sectors were moving in direct correlation with metal prices...now the problem starts on the operational front. Steel manufacturers will reduce output by at least 30-40%...so with large capex having gone into sesa's subsidiaries, there is surplus capacity sitting on the books. Reducing costs via layoff could turn out to be a politically sensitive issue. Expect this stock to underperform the market.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on GVKPIL | Wednesday, November 12th, 2008
High beta stocks...I am playing for a broad short-term sell-off.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on ZYLOG | Monday, November 3rd, 2008
P/E of 1.95 looks cheap...but doesn't mean ****. But then, in this mkt you have to place confidence where it is due. The company looks ok..decent management, decent strengths...why not??

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on UNITECH | Monday, October 27th, 2008
Rumor of pvt equity infusion....And sale of telecom license will also help immediate cash position.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on ULTRACEMCO | Monday, October 27th, 2008
Company is trading below replacement value of its plants..

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on KATARESPIN | Friday, October 24th, 2008
Low levels of debt when compared to peers. Also, they seem to have employee and other non-commodity related costs under control. With commodity prices softening, I expect their profitability to improve.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on MADHUCON | Thursday, October 23rd, 2008
Beaten down to death...their current asset situation is not so bad...sitting on 100cr of cash and 400cr of advances. Does not look like a company that will go bankrupt. A couple of bad quarters will not mean end of the world.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on LACTOSEIND | Wednesday, October 22nd, 2008
Again, not sure if I'm late for the party...but hey, its worth the try!

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on HEROHONDA | Wednesday, October 22nd, 2008
Contrarian...
Cash sales increased last quarter, but I think this is a temporary trend. With growing uncertainty and dwindling confidence, sales are going to reduce drastically.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on GMDCLTD | Thursday, October 16th, 2008
Today is the x-date for 1for1 bonus issue...expect this stock to rally as its been beaten down to death and due to its increased availablility.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on MARUTI | Friday, October 3rd, 2008
credit crunch, high interest rates

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on ZEEL | Friday, October 3rd, 2008
There is a theory out there that in a recession companies spend more on advertising...lets see

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on BGRENERGY | Monday, September 29th, 2008
Very strong in its core areas and is currently looking
leverage this base to get into power generation.
Definitely a stock to hold on to for the long term.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on CANBK | Monday, September 29th, 2008
Bearish on smaller banks for the near-term. Mkt hasn't
factored in the entire crisis in the valuation of smaller
baks.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on MAHPOLYBUT | Wednesday, September 24th, 2008
Maybe I am late for the party...but he, its worth the try!

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on TCS | Tuesday, September 23rd, 2008
Well-managed IT services company...

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on RANBAXY | Monday, September 22nd, 2008
Expect short-term rally

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on SESAGOA | Monday, September 22nd, 2008
Long-term bullish on sesa.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on SUZLON | Wednesday, September 17th, 2008
Beaten down way beyong fair levels.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on TECHNOFORG | Wednesday, September 17th, 2008
Punt

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on RELIANCE | Thursday, September 11th, 2008
Test

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on DLF | Wednesday, September 10th, 2008
Short homebuilders in the very short term.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on RELIANCE | Tuesday, September 9th, 2008
Long-term bullish on refiners who can refine low-grade petroleum.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on GIPCL | Tuesday, September 9th, 2008
Top pick in power sector. This company has full rights to establishing power plants at coal beds in Gujarat. Currently run 2 thermal and 1 coal based plant, with another coal based plant being built. High utilization and well managed.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on NECLIFE | Tuesday, September 9th, 2008
High growth bulk pharma company. Target a p/e of atleast 10x on this stock.

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on WELSPUNSYN | Monday, September 8th, 2008
Extremely well positioned business. Company owns massive tracts of land in Gujarat, a big + for growth,

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on RAINBOWPPR | Monday, September 8th, 2008
Long-term bearish on paper industry...newsprint is dying slow death

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on HDFC | Monday, September 8th, 2008
Structural story of hosuing in India:
1) Low levels of home ownership
2) Burgeoning salaried class which will buy homes only on the back of home loans
3) Rapid urbanization

Replies (0)

Recs
0 Posted by morphiusx on ICICIBANK | Monday, September 1st, 2008
Will only go long if they do not go bust by 2009 end.

Replies (1)